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THE FUTURE
Several points of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report (2007) have implications for ARES. See: <http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_spm.pdf> Examples include: 1) Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level; 2) There is observational evidence of an increase in intense tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic; 3) In North America, warming in western mountains is projected to cause decreased snow pack, more winter flooding, and reduced summer flows, exacerbating competition for over-allocated water resources; 4) Cities that currently experience heat waves are expected to be further challenged by an increased number, intensity and duration of heat waves, with potential for adverse health impacts; and 5) Coastal communities will be increasingly stressed by climate change impacts interacting with development and pollution. To follow-up on the above, here are a few suggestions: harden your home ARES "EOC"; get basic weather instrumentation (hardened as best you can) for providing *measured* reports (ground truths); discuss your own region's likely fallout from climate change with your emergency management professionals; and become more informed in general on these issues, which are certain to become front-and-center in the near future.
Rick K1CE
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